How to Read and Trade Outcome Probabilities on Crypto Prediction Markets
Imagine you see a binary market that prices “Candidate X wins” at $0.34. You know the rule: winning shares redeem for $1.00 USDC.e, losing shares expire worthless. But what does $0.34 actually tell you about probability, risk, and the trade you should place? For traders in the US weighing prediction-market platforms, that single price encodes …
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